Tuesday, June 18, 2013

How You Can Change Your Decision Making

Barry Ritholtz always finds the great pieces...... a thought piece by Michael Mauboussin. Dovetails nicely with my post on making more accurate predictions.
  1. Raise your awareness: Incomplete information and lots of uncertainty leads to poor outcomes
  2. Put yourself in the shoes of others: Consider the point of view or experience of other people
  3. Recognise the role of skill and luck: Sorting skill from luck is essential for evaluating outcomes
  4. Get feedback: Maintaining a decision-making journal allows you to audit your decisions
  5. Create a checklist: It will alert you to think clearly about what you might advertently overlook
  6. Perform a premortem: Assume that the decision has failed; look for reasons why
  7. Know what you can’t know: In decisions that involve systems with many interacting parts, causal links are frequently unclear
Source: Think Twice



No comments:

Post a Comment