Tuesday, December 18, 2012

The Death of the Dollar?- Robert Arnott

An excerpt from Robery Arnott's take on the latest round of QE. The whole article is worth the time to read it and can be found here.

The Federal Reserve Board will now be “printing” $85 billion a month in new U.S. dollars in order to buy $85 billion a month in bonds, up from $40 billion a month previously. Doing the math, that’s $1,020 billion—just over $1 trillion—a year. The Fed’s balance sheet had $800 billion in assets before the Global Financial Crisis started in 2008; it’s now over $3 trillion, set to rise $1 trillion a year.

If we’re spending $1 trillion a year more than we produce as a nation (the national deficit) and are financing it by printing $1 trillion a year of crisp newly printed bills (actually, bits in a computer), we’re on a dangerous path. Printing our own money to buy our own debt works fine… until it doesn’t.

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