Sunday, October 7, 2012

Trading Portfolio Update for week ending 10/5/12

I wanted to provide an update on the performance and positions of the trading portfolios. As a reminder, these portfolios track the performance of my trading and other recommendations using Marketocracy. They do not necessarily reflect my actual portfolio positions (but may) and serve only to highlight the performance of my trading and investment calls.

In any event, the long trading portfolio ended the week at a value of $10.19 per share, for a gain of 1.9% since its inception on September 26. This compares to an increase of 1.3% on the S&P 500 over the same time period. The portfolio currently consists of four investments, which can be found below.
 
Symbol
Price Shares Value Portion of Fund Gains Today Inception Return Current Return
ACI
$6.60 33,000 $217,800.00 21.37% $15,373.35 -1.35% 7.59% 7.59%

ANR
$6.58 31,800 $209,244.00 20.53% $5,709.59 -2.23% 2.81% 2.81%
TBF
$29.77 6,900 $205,390.23 20.15% $5,132.70 1.39% 2.56% 2.56%

HDGE
$20.57 9,460 $194,592.20 19.09% -$6,362.05 0.38% -3.17% -3.17%


The coal stock exposure has benefited from a reported earlier in the week detailing that coal exports are increasing significantly and the supposed 'Romney Rally' while the 'short' exposure via the Short ETF has been the worst performer, as the market grinds higher.

The short recommendation portfolio has a value $9.91 per share or a decline of about 1% since the October 2 inception. This compares to the S&P 500 gain of 1.1% over the same time period. This portfolio currently consists of 3 investment, including short exposures to housing construction and oil prices. In addition, the fund is short Capstead Mortgage (ticker CMO).

Symbol
Price Shares Value Portion of Fund Gains Today Inception Return Current Return

CMO
$13.06 -18,620 -$243,177.20 24.54% $5,434.41 -0.08% 2.19% 2.19%

USO
$33.35 -7,280 -$242,751.60 24.50% -$3,287.76 1.75% -1.37% -1.37%

XHB
$25.86 -10,110 -$261,444.60 26.39% -$11,340.75 -1.17% -4.53% -4.53%


CMO, the best performer, is a volume of the high stock and had experienced a flash-crash of sorts on October 2. As for the XHB, I have a tight stop on this position, and will cut the exposure if the price breaks above the recent high of $26.08.

The price increase since October 2 has been on lower volume and the RSI and MACD is showing a divergence from the price trend since mid-September.

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