This is some good stuff...
- In order for an economic forecast to be relevant, it must be combined with a market call.
- Never be a slave to the data -- they are no substitute for astute observation of the big picture.
- The consensus rarely gets it right and almost always errs on the side of optimism -- except at the bottom.
- Fall in love with your partner, not your forecast.
- No two cycles are ever the same.
- Never hide behind your model.
- Always seek out corroborating evidence.
- Have respect for what the markets are telling you.
- Be constantly aware with your forecast horizon -- many clients live in the short run.
- Of al the market forecasters, Mr. Bond gets it right most often.
- Highlights the risk to your forecasts.
- Get the U.S. consumer right and everything else will take care of itself.
- Expansions are more fun than recessions (straight from Bob Farrell's quiver!).
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