Tuesday, July 15, 2014

Gold Complex Takes a Hit But......

Rather busy this morning but wanted to dash off a quick note concerning yesterday's gold and gold complex sell off. Although the weakness in the yellow metal appeared particularly worrisome, especially if you were reading the financial media, the action in the precious metal stocks was far less concerning.

Just look at the charts, First the GDX

And then RGLD

What is interesting here is that the pullback in the gold equities, particularly RGLD, one of the companies most levered to gold and precious metal prices, just brought the price trend back to the recent trend. More so, the intra-day lows appear to have been rejected, as volume on the downturn was light while buying pressure started to enter the market late in the day.

If I had to guess, and it is just a guess, I think yesterday's price action was a dab of short-term profit taking for those who entered the market in June and selling pressure from those trapped at or around the 52-week highs seen in March 2014 and August 2013. 

I would not be surprised to see a pullback in prices, considering the run we have had in 2014. That said and turning to my timing models........................

6-Month model

 Long-term model

The models have and continue to remain in a buy-range.

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