Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Getting Out Ahead of the Fiscal Cliff... Who's Next

This story was printed on Business Insider earlier this morning.
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Costco is just the latest of a slew of companies to dump cash on its shareholders in the form of a special one-time dividend.

And with the prospect of higher dividend taxes next year, many more companies are likely to follow.
So, how do you know if a company is going to pay up?

Obviously, the company will have the financial flexibility and the excess cash to do so.
But there's another characteristic that stood out in 2010, which was the last time dividend taxes were expected to surge by year-end.

"Interestingly, many companies declaring specials also exhibited high levels of insider ownership," wrote Markit in a report earlier this month. "While executive and director holdings ranged from < 1% to as high as 87%, more than half (53%) of companies exhibited insider ownership exceeding 25% of shares. Average insider holdings were 30% among the 50 companies."
special dividend
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That got me thinking, who is next? In an attempt to answer that, I ran a screen for Russell 3000 companies with high insider ownership rates, total debt to cap less than 70%, high Altman Z-scores, and companies generating ample free cash flow. In addition, I also weeded out those companies with market caps under $1 billion and attempted to exclude any company that has already announced a one-time dividend. The following table lists the top 50 names (ranked by free cash flow generation relative to sales) making this criteria.


Company Name Ticker
Oracle Corporation (NasdaqGS:ORCL) ORCL
Ubiquiti Networks, Inc. (NasdaqGS:UBNT) UBNT
Federated Investors, Inc. (NYSE:FII) FII
Brown & Brown Inc. (NYSE:BRO) BRO
Google Inc. (NasdaqGS:GOOG) GOOG
Stryker Corporation (NYSE:SYK) SYK
Liberty Media Corporation (NasdaqGS:LMCA) LMCA
Akorn, Inc. (NasdaqGS:AKRX) AKRX
Nordson Corporation (NasdaqGS:NDSN) NDSN
3D Systems Corp. (NYSE:DDD) DDD
NetScout Systems, Inc. (NasdaqGS:NTCT) NTCT
Michael Kors Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:KORS) KORS
Cerner Corporation (NasdaqGS:CERN) CERN
Danaher Corp. (NYSE:DHR) DHR
Liquidity Services, Inc. (NasdaqGS:LQDT) LQDT
Air Methods Corp. (NasdaqGS:AIRM) AIRM
eBay Inc. (NasdaqGS:EBAY) EBAY
Apollo Group Inc. (NasdaqGS:APOL) APOL
First Cash Financial Services Inc. (NasdaqGS:FCFS) FCFS
MSC Industrial Direct Co. Inc. (NYSE:MSM) MSM
IHS Inc. (NYSE:IHS) IHS
Fossil, Inc. (NasdaqGS:FOSL) FOSL
Hasbro Inc. (NasdaqGS:HAS) HAS
Ralph Lauren Corporation (NYSE:RL) RL
Vera Bradley, Inc. (NasdaqGS:VRA) VRA
Brady Corp. (NYSE:BRC) BRC
II-VI Incorporated (NasdaqGS:IIVI) IIVI
Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. (NYSE:NUS) NUS
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (NYSE:EL) EL
Cintas Corporation (NasdaqGS:CTAS) CTAS
Titanium Metals Corporation (NYSE:TIE) TIE
Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (NYSE:TR) TR
Franklin Electric Co. Inc. (NasdaqGS:FELE) FELE
Broadcom Corp. (NasdaqGS:BRCM) BRCM
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (NYSE:SSD) SSD
Leucadia National Corp. (NYSE:LUK) LUK
Mine Safety Appliances Co. (NYSE:MSA) MSA
W.W. Grainger, Inc. (NYSE:GWW) GWW
Guess? Inc. (NYSE:GES) GES
Nike Inc. (NYSE:NKE) NKE
UniFirst Corp. (NYSE:UNF) UNF
Watts Water Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:WTS) WTS
Airgas, Inc. (NYSE:ARG) ARG
DST Systems Inc. (NYSE:DST) DST
Boston Beer Co. Inc. (NYSE:SAM) SAM
Molex Incorporated (NasdaqGS:MOLX) MOLX
Bruker Corporation (NasdaqGS:BRKR) BRKR
Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE:JWN) JWN
Under Armour, Inc. (NYSE:UA) UA
AO Smith Corp. (NYSE:AOS) AOS

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